USA TODAY / Gallup poll
Results are based on interviews with 477 New Hampshire residents deemed most likely to vote in the Republican primary . The results for Section II are based on interviews with 510 New Hampshire residents deemed most likely to vote in the Democratic primary. Interviews for both sections were conducted December 17-19, 2007.
Section I: The New Hampshire Republican Primary
1. (Asked of Republicans and Republican leaners without a candidate preference) As of today, which Republican candidate do you lean toward the most?
| Candidate | Percent |
 | |
| Mitt Romney | 34 |
| |
| John McCain | 27 |
| |
| Rudy Giuliani | 11 |
| |
| Mike Huckabee | 9 |
| |
| Ron Paul | 9 |
| |
| Fred Thompson | 4 |
| |
| Duncan Hunter | 1 |
| |
| Tom Tancredo | * |
| |
| Alan Keyes | -- |
| |
| |
| Other | -- |
| |
| No opinion | 5 |
| |
2. (Asked of Republican voters) Are you certain to vote for this same candidate in the primary election or do you think you might change your mind?
| Certain to vote for candidate | Could change mind | No candidate preference | |
| |||
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | 52 | 43 | 5 |
| |||
Combined results from questions 1 and 2:
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| Romney, certain | 19 |
| |
| McCain, certain | 15 |
| |
| Giuliani, certain | 5 |
| |
| Paul, certain | 5 |
| |
| Huckabee, certain | 5 |
| |
| Thompson, certain | 2 |
| |
| Hunter, certain | 1 |
| |
| Tancredo, certain | -- |
| |
| Keyes, certain | -- |
| |
| Could change mind | 43 |
| |
| No preference | 5 |
| |
3. (Asked of Republican voters who named a candidate they support for the Republican nomination in 2008) Who would be your second choice for the Republican nomination?
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| Rudy Giuliani | 27 |
| |
| Mitt Romney | 20 |
| |
| John McCain | 19 |
| |
| Mike Huckabee | 11 |
| |
| Ron Paul | 5 |
| |
| Fred Thompson | 4 |
| |
| Alan Keyes | 1 |
| |
| Duncan Hunter | 1 |
| |
| Tom Tancredo | * |
| |
| Other | 1 |
| |
| No opinion | 11 |
| |
4. (Asked of Republican voters) Which type of candidate are you more likely to vote for in the primary -- a candidate who agrees with you on almost all the issues you care about or a candidate who has the best chance of beating the Democrat?
| Agrees on issues | Best chance of beating the Democrat | No opinion | |
| |||
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | 65 | 30 | 5 |
| |||
5. (Asked of Republican voters) Which ONE of the following issues is MOST important to you when you think about your vote?
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| Illegal immigration | 26 |
| |
| Economic conditions | 22 |
| |
| Terrorism | 17 |
| |
| The situation in Iraq | 12 |
| |
| Healthcare | 10 |
| |
| Taxes | 8 |
| |
| Other | 4 |
| |
| No opinion | 1 |
| |
6. (Asked of Republican voters) Which of the following will be most important to you when you decide who to vote for -- where the candidates stand on issues or the leadership skills and vision you think the candidates would have as president?
| Stance on issues | Leadership skills and vision | Both equally (vol.) | Neither (vol.) | No opinion | |
| |||||
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | 36 | 56 | 8 | -- | * |
| |||||
7. (Asked of Republican voters) Regardless of which candidate you support, who do you think reflects the following characteristics the most?
A. Is in touch with the average American
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| John McCain | 26 |
| |
| Rudy Giuliani | 18 |
| |
| Mitt Romney | 18 |
| |
| Mike Huckabee | 17 |
| |
| Ron Paul (vol.) | 7 |
| |
| Fred Thompson | 3 |
| |
| Duncan Hunter (vol.) | 1 |
| |
| Tom Tancredo (vol.) | * |
| |
| Alan Keyes (vol.) | -- |
| |
| Other | -- |
| |
| No opinion | 10 |
| |
B. Has the best chance of beating the Democrat in November
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| Mitt Romney | 40 |
| |
| Rudy Giuliani | 27 |
| |
| John McCain | 17 |
| |
| Mike Huckabee | 4 |
| |
| Ron Paul (vol.) | 2 |
| |
| Fred Thompson | 2 |
| |
| Duncan Hunter (vol.) | * |
| |
| Tom Tancredo (vol.) | -- |
| |
| Alan Keyes (vol.) | -- |
| |
| Other | -- |
| |
| No opinion | 8 |
| |
C. Stands up for what he believes in
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| John McCain | 41 |
| |
| Mitt Romney | 24 |
| |
| Rudy Giuliani | 10 |
| |
| Mike Huckabee | 8 |
| |
| Ron Paul (vol.) | 7 |
| |
| Fred Thompson | 3 |
| |
| Tom Tancredo (vol.) | 1 |
| |
| Duncan Hunter (vol.) | 1 |
| |
| Alan Keyes (vol.) | -- |
| |
| Other | -- |
| |
| No opinion | 5 |
| |
D. Shares your values
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| Mitt Romney | 34 |
| |
| John McCain | 25 |
| |
| Mike Huckabee | 14 |
| |
| Rudy Giuliani | 10 |
| |
| Ron Paul (vol.) | 7 |
| |
| Fred Thompson | 4 |
| |
| Duncan Hunter (vol.) | 1 |
| |
| Alan Keyes (vol.) | 1 |
| |
| Tom Tancredo (vol.) | -- |
| |
| Other | -- |
| |
| No opinion | 4 |
| |
E. Has new ideas that would help solve the country's problems
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| Mitt Romney | 38 |
| |
| John McCain | 14 |
| |
| Rudy Giuliani | 12 |
| |
| Mike Huckabee | 11 |
| |
| Ron Paul (vol.) | 9 |
| |
| Fred Thompson | 4 |
| |
| Duncan Hunter (vol.) | 1 |
| |
| Alan Keyes (vol.) | * |
| |
| Tom Tancredo (vol.) | * |
| |
| Other | * |
| |
| No opinion | 11 |
| |
F. Can get things done in Washington
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| John McCain | 37 |
| |
| Mitt Romney | 32 |
| |
| Rudy Giuliani | 17 |
| |
| Ron Paul (vol.) | 3 |
| |
| Mike Huckabee | 3 |
| |
| Fred Thompson | 2 |
| |
| Duncan Hunter (vol.) | 1 |
| |
| Tom Tancredo (vol.) | -- |
| |
| Alan Keyes (vol.) | -- |
| |
| Other | * |
| |
| No opinion | 5 |
| |
Trends for Comparison:
2000 New Hampshire Republican Party Primary for President
A. Is in touch with the average American
| Bauer | Bush | Forbes | Keyes | McCain | No opinion | |
| ||||||
| 2000 Jan 29-30 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 11 |
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| 2000 Jan 28-29 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 43 | 9 |
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B. Has the best chance of beating the Democrat in November
| Bauer | Bush | Forbes | Keyes | McCain | No opinion | |
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| 2000 Jan 29-30 | -- | 68 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 6 |
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| 2000 Jan 28-29 | -- | 66 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 6 |
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C. Can get things done in Washington
| Bauer | Bush | Forbes | Keyes | McCain | No opinion | |
| ||||||
| 2000 Jan 29-30 | * | 42 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 9 |
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| 2000 Jan 28-29 | * | 40 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 8 |
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1996 New Hampshire Republican Party Primary for President
A. Has new ideas that would help solve the country's problems
| Alexander | Buchanan | Dole | None/ other (vol.) | No opinion | |
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| 1996 Feb 18-19 | 36 | 31 | 13 | 16 | 4 |
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Section II: The New Hampshire Democratic Primary
8. (Asked of Democrats and Democratic leaners without a candidate preference) Which Democratic candidate do you lean toward the most?
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| Barack Obama | 32 |
| |
| Hillary Clinton | 32 |
| |
| John Edwards | 18 |
| |
| Bill Richardson | 8 |
| |
| Joe Biden | 4 |
| |
| Dennis Kucinich | 3 |
| |
| Chris Dodd | 1 |
| |
| Mike Gravel | -- |
| |
| Other | * |
| |
| No opinion | 3 |
| |
9. (Asked of Democratic voters) Are you certain to vote for this same candidate in the primary election or do you think you might change your mind?
| Certain to vote for candidate | Could change mind | No candidate preference | |
| |||
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | 55 | 42 | 3 |
| |||
Combined results for questions 8 and 9:
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| Clinton, certain | 20 |
| |
| Obama, certain | 18 |
| |
| Edwards, certain | 10 |
| |
| Richardson, certain | 3 |
| |
| Biden, certain | 2 |
| |
| Kucinich, certain | 2 |
| |
| Dodd, certain | * |
| |
| Gravel, certain | -- |
| |
| Could change mind | 42 |
| |
| No preference | 3 |
| |
10. (Asked of Democratic voters who named a candidate they support for the Democratic nomination in 2008) Who would be your second choice for the Democratic nomination?
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| John Edwards | 23 |
| |
| Barack Obama | 22 |
| |
| Hillary Clinton | 20 |
| |
| Bill Richardson | 13 |
| |
| Joe Biden | 7 |
| |
| Dennis Kucinich | 3 |
| |
| Chris Dodd | 1 |
| |
| Mike Gravel | -- |
| |
| Other | 2 |
| |
| No opinion | 9 |
| |
11. (Asked of Democratic voters) Which type of candidate are you more likely to vote for in the primary -- a candidate who agrees with you on almost all of the issues you care about or a candidate who has the best chance of beating the Republican?
| Agrees on issues | Best chance of beating the Republican | No opinion | |
| |||
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | 65 | 30 | 5 |
| |||
Trend for Comparison:
Which type of candidate are you more likely to vote for in the New Hampshire primary -- a candidate who agrees with you on almost all of the issues you care about or a candidate who has the best chance of beating George W. Bush?
| Agrees on issues | Best chance of beating Bush | No opinion | |
| |||
| 2004 Jan 20-22 | 49 | 48 | 3 |
| |||
12. (Asked of Democratic voters) Which ONE of the following issues is MOST important to you when you think about your vote?
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| The situation in Iraq | 35 |
| |
| Healthcare | 27 |
| |
| Economic conditions | 26 |
| |
| Illegal immigration | 3 |
| |
| Terrorism | 2 |
| |
| Taxes | 1 |
| |
| Other | 5 |
| |
| No opinion | 1 |
| |
Trends for Comparison:
2004 New Hampshire Democratic Party Primary for President
| 2004 Jan 24-25 | 2004 Jan 20-22 | |
| ||
| Economic conditions | 38 | 38 |
| ||
| Healthcare | 26 | 31 |
| ||
| The situation in Iraq | 20 | 17 |
| ||
| Terrorism | 4 | 6 |
| ||
| Taxes | 5 | 4 |
| ||
| Other/none/no opinion | 7 | 4 |
| ||
13. (Asked of Democratic voters) Which of the following do you think will be most important to you when you decide who to vote for -- where the candidates stand on issues that matter to you or the leadership skills and vision you think the candidates would have as president?
| Stance on issues | Leadership skills and vision | Both equally (vol.) | Neither (vol.) | No opinion | |
| |||||
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | 33 | 60 | 6 | * | 1 |
| |||||
14. (Asked of Democratic voters) Regardless of which candidate you support, who do you think reflects the following characteristics the most?
A. Is in touch with the average American
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| Barack Obama | 37 |
| |
| John Edwards | 28 |
| |
| Hillary Clinton | 19 |
| |
| Bill Richardson (vol.) | 4 |
| |
| Dennis Kucinich (vol.) | 2 |
| |
| Joe Biden (vol.) | 2 |
| |
| Chris Dodd (vol.) | 1 |
| |
| Mike Gravel (vol.) | -- |
| |
| Other | * |
| |
| No opinion | 7 |
| |
B. Has the best chance of beating the Republican in November
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| Hillary Clinton | 47 |
| |
| Barack Obama | 26 |
| |
| John Edwards | 17 |
| |
| Bill Richardson (vol.) | 1 |
| |
| Joe Biden (vol.) | 1 |
| |
| Chris Dodd (vol.) | -- |
| |
| Mike Gravel (vol.) | -- |
| |
| Dennis Kucinich (vol.) | -- |
| |
| Other | * |
| |
| No opinion | 8 |
| |
C. Stands up for what he or she believes in
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| Barack Obama | 32 |
| |
| Hillary Clinton | 26 |
| |
| John Edwards | 22 |
| |
| Bill Richardson (vol.) | 4 |
| |
| Dennis Kucinich (vol.) | 4 |
| |
| Joe Biden (vol.) | 1 |
| |
| Chris Dodd (vol.) | * |
| |
| Mike Gravel (vol.) | * |
| |
| Other | 1 |
| |
| No opinion | 10 |
| |
D. Shares your values
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| Barack Obama | 29 |
| |
| Hillary Clinton | 25 |
| |
| John Edwards | 23 |
| |
| Bill Richardson (vol.) | 6 |
| |
| Dennis Kucinich (vol.) | 3 |
| |
| Joe Biden (vol.) | 3 |
| |
| Chris Dodd (vol.) | 1 |
| |
| Mike Gravel (vol.) | * |
| |
| Other | 1 |
| |
| No opinion | 9 |
| |
E. Has new ideas that would help solve the country's problems
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| Barack Obama | 42 |
| |
| John Edwards | 20 |
| |
| Hillary Clinton | 19 |
| |
| Bill Richardson (vol.) | 6 |
| |
| Dennis Kucinich (vol.) | 3 |
| |
| Joe Biden (vol.) | 1 |
| |
| Mike Gravel (vol.) | * |
| |
| Chris Dodd (vol.) | -- |
| |
| Other | 1 |
| |
| No opinion | 8 |
| |
F. Can get things done in Washington
| 2007 Dec 17-19 | |
| |
| Hillary Clinton | 50 |
| |
| Barack Obama | 18 |
| |
| John Edwards | 14 |
| |
| Bill Richardson (vol.) | 4 |
| |
| Joe Biden (vol.) | 3 |
| |
| Dennis Kucinich (vol.) | 1 |
| |
| Chris Dodd (vol.) | 1 |
| |
| Mike Gravel (vol.) | -- |
| |
| Other | * |
| |
| No opinion | 9 |
| |
Trends for Comparison:
2004 New Hampshire Democratic Party Primary for President
A. Is in touch with the average American
| Clark | Dean | Ed-wards | Kerry | Lieb-erman | Kuc-inich | Sharp-ton | All equally/ no opinion | |
| ||||||||
| 2004 Jan 24-25 | 8 | 26 | 18 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| ||||||||
B. Has the best chance of beating George W. Bush in November
| Clark | Dean | Ed-wards | Kerry | Lieb-erman | Kuc-inich | Sharp-ton | All equally/ no opinion | |
| ||||||||
| 2004 Jan 24-25 | 9 | 16 | 7 | 56 | 6 | * | * | 6 |
| ||||||||
C. Stands up for what he believes in
| Clark | Dean | Ed-wards | Kerry | Lieb-erman | Kuc-inich | Sharp-ton | All equally/ no opinion | |
| ||||||||
| 2004 Jan 24-25 | 12 | 30 | 7 | 25 | 15 | 4 | * | 7 |
| ||||||||
D. Shares your values
| Clark | Dean | Ed-wards | Kerry | Lieb-erman | Kuc-inich | Sharp-ton | All equally/ no opinion | |
| ||||||||
| 2004 Jan 24-25 | 11 | 25 | 13 | 27 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| ||||||||
E. Has new ideas that would help solve the country's problems
| Clark | Dean | Ed-wards | Kerry | Lieb-erman | Kuc-inich | Sharp-ton | All equally/ no opinion | |
| ||||||||
| 2004 Jan 24-25 | 11 | 29 | 13 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| ||||||||
2000 New Hampshire Democratic Party Primary for President
A. Is in touch with the average American
| Bradley | Gore | Same (vol.) | No opinion | |
| ||||
| 2000 Jan 29-30 | 50 | 34 | 12 | 4 |
| ||||
| 2000 Jan 27-29 | 51 | 33 | 11 | 5 |
| ||||
| 2000 Jan 26-28 | 50 | 34 | 12 | 4 |
| ||||
| 2000 Jan 25-27 | 47 | 36 | 13 | 4 |
| ||||
| 2000 Jan 20-22 | 49 | 34 | 13 | 4 |
| ||||
B. Has the best chance of beating the Republican in November
| Bradley | Gore | Same (vol.) | No opinion | |
| ||||
| 2000 Jan 29-30 | 18 | 74 | 4 | 4 |
| ||||
| 2000 Jan 27-29 | 20 | 72 | 4 | 4 |
| ||||
| 2000 Jan 26-28 | 18 | 76 | 2 | 4 |
| ||||
| 2000 Jan 25-27 | 15 | 78 | 3 | 4 |
| ||||
| 2000 Jan 20-22 | 26 | 66 | 4 | 4 |
| ||||
C. Can get things done in Washington
| Bradley | Gore | Same (vol.) | No opinion | |
| ||||
| 2000 Jan 29-30 | 26 | 59 | 10 | 5 |
| ||||
| 2000 Jan 27-29 | 27 | 58 | 10 | 5 |
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| 2000 Jan 26-28 | 25 | 62 | 9 | 4 |
| ||||
| 2000 Jan 25-27 | 22 | 65 | 9 | 4 |
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| 2000 Jan 20-22 | 25 | 60 | 10 | 5 |
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The results for Section I are based on interviews conducted December 17-19, 2007 with –477— New Hampshire residents deemed most likely to vote in the Republican primary. For this sample, the maximum margin of error attributable to sampling is ±5 percentage points.
The likely voter model assumes a turnout rate of 60% of those who say they plan to vote in the Republican presidential primary, approximately 25% of New Hampshire adults. The likely voter results are weighted to match this assumption (weighted sample size is 467).
The results for Section II are based on interviews conducted December 17-19, 2007 with –510— New Hampshire residents deemed most likely to vote in the Democratic primary. For this sample, the maximum margin of error attributable to sampling is ±5 percentage points.
All results reported here are based on likely voters.
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